Yevgeni Svechnikov

Your 2015 NHL Draft Betting Guide

I guess I should start by introducing myself. I’m Austin, but I go by Boff and I’ll be the main NHL guy here at East Coast Egos. Although I’m a diehard Philadelphia Flyers fan, I’ll mainly be writing about just general stuff around the league, ranging from the draft to my game picks during the season. The 2015 Draft is coming up on Friday June 26th, and it’s one of the deepest and hardest to predict in recent years. Below are my picks to keep you degenerates interested during day one. All lines were found on sportsinteraction.com

 

Over/Under 21.5 forwards selected in the 1st round        My pick: Over (+110)

The depth at the beginning of the draft starts up front, where there are probably between 25 and 30 guys that could go round 1. I believe there are 14 forwards that are absolute locks to go in round 1, and an additional 12 that will have round 1 grade on multiple team’s boards. The over should hit.

 

Over/Under 8.5 defenseman selected in the 1st round  My pick: Under (-105)

You can make an argument there are 6 defenseman that are locks to go in the 1st. Three of them (Noah Hanifin, Ivan Provorov, Zach Werenski) shouldn’t get out of the top 10, and Jakub Zboril, Thomas Chabot, and Jeremy Roy should also hear their names called within the first 30 picks. Then it gets tricky. Oliver Kylington is a hot name as the once top 10 lock might fall out of round 1. Brandon Carlo, Gabriel Carlsson, Jonas Siegenthaler and Jacob Larsson are the other names that could derail this pick, but I believe most teams will have a couple forwards rated higher on their boards when the time to pick comes around.

 

Over/Under 0.5 goalies selected in the 1st round                                 My pick: Over (-180)

This convo has seemed to turn from not if, but when will Ilya Samsonov go in round 1. His name has been mentioned as high as #16 to Edmonton all the way down to #29 in Philadelphia. This should be a lock.

 

Canadians selected in the 1st round        My pick: Under 12.5 (+115)

A strong crop coming out of the U.S. leads me to believe you won’t be hearing more than a dozen Canadian names called in round 1. We all expect Connor McDavid, Dylan Strome, Mitch Marner, Mathew Barzal, Lawson Crouse, Travis Konecny, Nick Merkley, and Thomas Chabot to be selected in the first 30, but what happens after them? Risky, but taking the under here.

 

Americans selected in the 1st round        My pick: Over 7.5 (-135)

The 7.5 line is a testament to the talent coming out of the U.S. this year. Likely top 10 selections Jack Eichel, Noah Hanifin, and Zach Weresnki lead the way, but a strong crop out of the NTDP pushed this line higher than it is in normal years. Kyle Connor, Collin White, Brock Boeser, Brandon Carlo, Paul Bittner, Jack Roslovic, and Jeremy Bracco are the names to watch here that could push this line over the top.

 

Russians selected in the 1st round            My pick: Over 3.5 (-145)

With the demise of the KHL along with the recent news that a transfer agreement between the NHL and KHL being on the horizon, the so called “Russian Factor” should be a thing of the past. Ivan Provorov, Yengeni Svechnikov, Ilya Samsonov, and Dennis Guryanov all will more than likely be selected in round 1. This should be another lock.

 

Swedes selected in the 1st round               My pick: Under 2.5 (-110)

The demise of Oliver Kylington adds on to what is an uncharacteristically weak year for the Swedes. There is no true lock to go in the first round this year, with Joel Eriksson Ek being the closest thing to it. I can see one of the Swedish defenseman trio going in round 1, but don’t expect it to be more than that.

 

Czechs selected in the 1st round                                   My pick: Under 2.5 (-220)

No surprises here as Pavel Zacha and Jakub Zboril lead the Czech contingent this year. Unless a team falls in love with Filip Chlapik, this should be the pick.

 

League Supremacy (most players selected in round 1)  My pick: OHL (+200)

By far the toughest line, as the 3 CHL leagues plus the USHL/NCAA combo could contend for the crown this year. I think the OHL edges out as it seems every year a team towards the bottom of round 1 takes a player from the province a few slots higher than expected. The USHL/NCAA (+225) is the biggest contender however, as Jack Roslovic and Jeremy Bracco going round 1 could absolutely swing this in their favor.

 

Toronto Maple Leafs selection #4 overall             My pick: Mitch Marner (+195)

All signs point to Arizona selecting Dylan Strome at #3, leaving Toronto with Marner at #4. There are a lot of connections here, as Mark Hunter was the GM in London who took a chance on a 5-7 16 year old at the end of the top round of the 2013 OHL Priority Selection. That kid became a now consensus top 10 prospect for this years draft, and Hunter is running the show for the Leafs. Should be a lock.

Calgary Flames selection #15 overall     My pick: Nick Merkley (+750)

When it comes to making picks this late, it’s a lot of throwing shit against the wall and hoping it sticks. However, Merkley to Calgary has been picking up steam and it makes sense. It’s worth a shot with those odds.

Edmonton Oilers selection #16 overall My pick: Thomas Chabot (+800)

It will be no surprise when Edmonton selects Connor McDavid with the top selection, but there is more intrigue here at #17. Edmonton will likely go with the BPA, and I’m speculating that Chabot will be their guy. Yevgeni Svechnikov (+800) was my 2nd choice.

 

Winnipeg Jets selection #18 overall       My pick: Yevgeni Svechnikov (+800)

Another shot in the dark here, but Svechnikov would add a new dimension to a deep Winnipeg prospect pool. Also like the odds on Jeremy Roy (+800) here.

 

Montreal Canadiens selection #26 overall          My pick: Daniel Sprong (+800)

This is complete speculation, but with Sprong’s supposed attitude problems he is likely to be here at this junction of the draft. No team should know more about Sprong than Montreal and assuming he checks out with his character, he would be the clear BPA. Anthony Beauvillier (+800) could be an alternative here.

 

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