Sports (and entertainment) Bets you Should Never Take

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  Alright so here’s a list of the 6 bets (5 through this week, and 1 futures) that you absolutely don’t want to take. Why not? Because my success rate is lower than Chase Utley’s batting average and my reasoning is more flawed than the topics on Dan Lebatard’s TV show.                                                                    

WNBA Atlanta Dream Vs. Chicago Sky                                                                                                                                            Atlanta Dream (+8)                                                                                                                                                                             Chicago Sky (-8)                                                                                                                                                                                  Apparently someone named Sylvia Fowles is out for Chicago. Whatever that means. Hammer the Sky, they’re 14-9 since 1997 as a home favorite giving between 6.5 and 9 points. If completely legitimate stats like that don’t make you confident I don’t know what will.

 Philadelphia Phillies Vs. New York Yankees money line                                                                                                           Phillies (+115) Hamels                                                                                                                                                                     Yankees (-135) Nova                                                                                                                                                                               We’re taking the Phillies here all day. The Phillies are 4-2 when playing with a day off this season so there’s that. Plus the Phillies JV lineup should be up to the task of fending off the second place in the AL East Yankees. They’ve lost two in a row so they’re bound to lose again, plus their pitcher is coming off the DL with an elbow injury. Chalk up a Phillies W tomorrow.

 NBA Draft who will be selected first?                                                                                                                                           D’Angelo Russell (-450)                                                                                                                                                                   Kristaps Porzingis (+325)                                                                                                                                                                        The move here is Porzingis. If there’s anything I love more than someone who has a name you can’t pronounce it would have to be those odds. -450? All of a sudden you’re thinking it’s a lock, free money, no way Porzingis goes before him, then BAM! some Eastern European goes third overall to Sam Hinkie and the Sixers making everyone wonder WTF he’s actually doing after they spent the last few years believing that “in four years, we’re gonna be a top 3 seed in the East.”

 Uruguay Vs. Chile Copa Americana                                                                                                                                              Chile (-1/2)                                                                                                                                                                                           Uruguay (+1/2)                                                                                                                                                                                  Uruguay made it to the 2010 world cup semi-final so that has to count for something. People want to think this will be an obvious W in the win column for Chile without Suarez in the lineup and that’s exactly what Vegas wants you to do. Take Uruguay with the upset.

 How much will “Max (2015)” gross at the box office?                                                                                                                    Over 13 million (-140)                                                                                                                                                                          Under 13 million (even)                                                                                                                                                                Obviously the under. Why? Because Vegas is begging you to take the over. Bovada surrounded this over/under of 13 million with similar bets at 52 and 60 million. That combined with you looking at this and thinking “Oh it’s a family friendly movie, I’m sure it’ll do better than 13 million” and “If Jurassic World could make 500 million this one should be able to hit the 13 mark.” Yeah, lock up the under. I’m not buying any of that Vegas voodoo down here in Miami.

 For all of you experiencing Game of Thrones withdrawal here you go

Who will be the ruling king or queen of Westeross at the end of the Game of Thrones television series?                  Hodor (500/1)                                                                                                                                                                                              Say what you want, but this guy has all the intangibles. Height, weight, agility, and if you ask me the simpleton thing is all a front. Hodor is biding his time with Bran and Rikon waiting for the best opportunity to make his move.

Disclaimer: If you actually read through this whole thing without realizing it was a parody article, you sir are an idiot

 

 

Yevgeni Svechnikov

Your 2015 NHL Draft Betting Guide

I guess I should start by introducing myself. I’m Austin, but I go by Boff and I’ll be the main NHL guy here at East Coast Egos. Although I’m a diehard Philadelphia Flyers fan, I’ll mainly be writing about just general stuff around the league, ranging from the draft to my game picks during the season. The 2015 Draft is coming up on Friday June 26th, and it’s one of the deepest and hardest to predict in recent years. Below are my picks to keep you degenerates interested during day one. All lines were found on sportsinteraction.com

 

Over/Under 21.5 forwards selected in the 1st round        My pick: Over (+110)

The depth at the beginning of the draft starts up front, where there are probably between 25 and 30 guys that could go round 1. I believe there are 14 forwards that are absolute locks to go in round 1, and an additional 12 that will have round 1 grade on multiple team’s boards. The over should hit.

 

Over/Under 8.5 defenseman selected in the 1st round  My pick: Under (-105)

You can make an argument there are 6 defenseman that are locks to go in the 1st. Three of them (Noah Hanifin, Ivan Provorov, Zach Werenski) shouldn’t get out of the top 10, and Jakub Zboril, Thomas Chabot, and Jeremy Roy should also hear their names called within the first 30 picks. Then it gets tricky. Oliver Kylington is a hot name as the once top 10 lock might fall out of round 1. Brandon Carlo, Gabriel Carlsson, Jonas Siegenthaler and Jacob Larsson are the other names that could derail this pick, but I believe most teams will have a couple forwards rated higher on their boards when the time to pick comes around.

 

Over/Under 0.5 goalies selected in the 1st round                                 My pick: Over (-180)

This convo has seemed to turn from not if, but when will Ilya Samsonov go in round 1. His name has been mentioned as high as #16 to Edmonton all the way down to #29 in Philadelphia. This should be a lock.

 

Canadians selected in the 1st round        My pick: Under 12.5 (+115)

A strong crop coming out of the U.S. leads me to believe you won’t be hearing more than a dozen Canadian names called in round 1. We all expect Connor McDavid, Dylan Strome, Mitch Marner, Mathew Barzal, Lawson Crouse, Travis Konecny, Nick Merkley, and Thomas Chabot to be selected in the first 30, but what happens after them? Risky, but taking the under here.

 

Americans selected in the 1st round        My pick: Over 7.5 (-135)

The 7.5 line is a testament to the talent coming out of the U.S. this year. Likely top 10 selections Jack Eichel, Noah Hanifin, and Zach Weresnki lead the way, but a strong crop out of the NTDP pushed this line higher than it is in normal years. Kyle Connor, Collin White, Brock Boeser, Brandon Carlo, Paul Bittner, Jack Roslovic, and Jeremy Bracco are the names to watch here that could push this line over the top.

 

Russians selected in the 1st round            My pick: Over 3.5 (-145)

With the demise of the KHL along with the recent news that a transfer agreement between the NHL and KHL being on the horizon, the so called “Russian Factor” should be a thing of the past. Ivan Provorov, Yengeni Svechnikov, Ilya Samsonov, and Dennis Guryanov all will more than likely be selected in round 1. This should be another lock.

 

Swedes selected in the 1st round               My pick: Under 2.5 (-110)

The demise of Oliver Kylington adds on to what is an uncharacteristically weak year for the Swedes. There is no true lock to go in the first round this year, with Joel Eriksson Ek being the closest thing to it. I can see one of the Swedish defenseman trio going in round 1, but don’t expect it to be more than that.

 

Czechs selected in the 1st round                                   My pick: Under 2.5 (-220)

No surprises here as Pavel Zacha and Jakub Zboril lead the Czech contingent this year. Unless a team falls in love with Filip Chlapik, this should be the pick.

 

League Supremacy (most players selected in round 1)  My pick: OHL (+200)

By far the toughest line, as the 3 CHL leagues plus the USHL/NCAA combo could contend for the crown this year. I think the OHL edges out as it seems every year a team towards the bottom of round 1 takes a player from the province a few slots higher than expected. The USHL/NCAA (+225) is the biggest contender however, as Jack Roslovic and Jeremy Bracco going round 1 could absolutely swing this in their favor.

 

Toronto Maple Leafs selection #4 overall             My pick: Mitch Marner (+195)

All signs point to Arizona selecting Dylan Strome at #3, leaving Toronto with Marner at #4. There are a lot of connections here, as Mark Hunter was the GM in London who took a chance on a 5-7 16 year old at the end of the top round of the 2013 OHL Priority Selection. That kid became a now consensus top 10 prospect for this years draft, and Hunter is running the show for the Leafs. Should be a lock.

Calgary Flames selection #15 overall     My pick: Nick Merkley (+750)

When it comes to making picks this late, it’s a lot of throwing shit against the wall and hoping it sticks. However, Merkley to Calgary has been picking up steam and it makes sense. It’s worth a shot with those odds.

Edmonton Oilers selection #16 overall My pick: Thomas Chabot (+800)

It will be no surprise when Edmonton selects Connor McDavid with the top selection, but there is more intrigue here at #17. Edmonton will likely go with the BPA, and I’m speculating that Chabot will be their guy. Yevgeni Svechnikov (+800) was my 2nd choice.

 

Winnipeg Jets selection #18 overall       My pick: Yevgeni Svechnikov (+800)

Another shot in the dark here, but Svechnikov would add a new dimension to a deep Winnipeg prospect pool. Also like the odds on Jeremy Roy (+800) here.

 

Montreal Canadiens selection #26 overall          My pick: Daniel Sprong (+800)

This is complete speculation, but with Sprong’s supposed attitude problems he is likely to be here at this junction of the draft. No team should know more about Sprong than Montreal and assuming he checks out with his character, he would be the clear BPA. Anthony Beauvillier (+800) could be an alternative here.

 

Why Everyone Should Bet Ole Miss to Win the College Football Playoff

According to WalterFootball.com, the Ole Miss Runnin’ Rebels have a projected 4 first round draft picks, 3 with top ten talent. Laremy Tunsil, Laquon Treadwell, and Robert Nkemdiche lead the rebels this year after a promising season last year. Going undefeated for a stretch of time and taking down the Goliath Alabama and then losing a nailbiter in Baton Rouge to LSU, you’ve got to think Ole Miss can run the table again with all of their returning talent.

Bovada Sports has them listed at 40/1 as of today, June 22 2015, this team that started off 7-0 and lost two heartbreaking nailbiters to LSU and Auburn has all the talent in the world to pull out a championship. With a strong coaching system and no more Bad Bo Wallace at QB, who knows how good this team can be.

Treadwell is arguably the best receiver in the country and appears to be healthy coming off of a gruesome injury to his leg last year. Nkemdiche was the number 1 prospect out of high school and as an incoming junior with two full years of experience, expect to see double digit sacks on a stacked defensive unit. Laremy Tunsil is the top rated offensive tackle prospect in next years draft and holds down the left side to protect whoever the quarterback may be.

The reason they are 40/1 is because of the quarterback situation, but with all the talent around that position, why not take a chance with this unbelievable value?

Ric’s DraftKings Lineup–6/22

Welcome to the site everyone. My name is Eric Lesser, a junior at The Pennsylvania State University here to give you the keys to success in daily fantasy baseball (probably not but at least I would like to think I am).

Pitcher: Michael Pineda, NYY, $9,300

Both Kershaw and King Felix take the mound tonight: but for a much cheaper, more valuable play the pick tonight is Pineda. Pineda takes on the JV Phillies lineup tonight, in which should be blow out in the Bronx. After coming off a 9 K performance last week against Miami, look for a similar performance against the leagues last place team.

Pitcher: Hector Santiago, LAA, $7,200

Santiago’s been pretty hit or miss this season; however, he brings in a 2.77 ERA heading into tonight’s matchup against the Astros. With a 4/1 K/BB ratio for Santiago, he’s definitely a solid play for tonight’s 10:05 start time. Also, the Astros have to go back to being the Astros again soon, right?

Catcher: Salvador Perez, KC, $3,200

Perez is hitting a solid .280 this year for the Royals, and after a day off yesterday he should be fully rested heading into tonight’s matchup against the Mariners. Hopefully the Royals can knock King Felix around a little bit so Perez can get a few at bats against the bullpen.

First Base: Adrian Gonzalez, LAD, $3,900

Something has to be off if Gonzalez is going for the same price as Mark Trumbo, but I’ll take it. After a 2/21 slump Gonzo went 3/4 with a HR last night against the Giants. Look for the slugger to return back on track tonight against the Cubs.

Second Base: Robinson Cano, SEA, $4,200

Cano has had a disappointing .243 average with only 2 HR this season for Seattle. With limited teams playing tonight, it only makes sense to draft the former all-star second basemen in tonight’s lineup.

Third Base: Kris Bryant, ChC, $4,000

Bryant faces off against Kershaw in tonight’s matchup against the Dodgers. After going 0 for his last 13, look for him to bounce back tonight against the former Cy Young winner. Do you guys all remember how far Joey Gallo took Kershaw deep last week?

Short Stop: Carlos Correa, Hou, $3,900

If you aren’t a believer in the 20 year old Houston short stop, you should start to be. The prospect is hitting a fat .304 in his last 10 games, with three stolen bases coming in one game this past weekend.

Outfield: Nelson Cruz, SEA, $4,900

I love Cruz tonight in the Mariner’s game against Kansas City. How about he delivers a couple of bombs and gives King Felix a little bit of run support, eh?

Outfield: Yasiel Puig, LAD, $4,000

The Cuban slugger has been scorching hot since his return from the DL a couple weeks ago. Keep riding the Puig train until he gives us reasons to believe otherwise.

Outfield: Mike Trout, LAA, $5,300

I didn’t take Kershaw or Felix tonight for reasons like this guy. Trout is the best player in baseball, and going on 9 games without a dinger. I wouldn’t be surprised if Trout has a Trout night tonight, going 2/4 with a HR 2 RBI and a stolen base.

Thanks for reading and good luck with your lineups. Obviously if rain looks like it will fall the lineup will change, but this is what I’m going with tonight. Let’s take home some cash and call it a night…